American Discontent

We read and hear a great deal about "low presidential approval ratings" and Republicans grieve over the effect on the party of the public discontent with President Bush. Republicans, as a part of the general public, are as ready to be upset with the president as anyone, as you will note if you read any conservative blogs. The best sort of comment you might read will be "I think (and hope) that History will deal kindly with President Bush. History will take note of and appreciate his________." and then there will be something about resolve in the face of adversity, or compassion for the ordinary American, or something else. In the context of all other remarks, it sounds like trying to make a silk purse out of a sow's ear.

Actually, I hope and trust that History will consider President Bush more kindly, as well. I have a hope in this fact, that the public cannot stand Congress either. "Congressional approval ratings" are just as dismal as the president's, and have not risen following the last election. The discontent with our government is general.

By most objective measures as seen in the "latest Federal Government statistics," the economy is doing quite well. Prices are a problem, but as Will Hinton says, there is not much the federal government can or ought to be doing about that. But employment is up, as are most economic indicators. Really, people were upset about the government before gas prices rose, lifting other prices with them.

We aren't happy with the conduct of the war, (or whatever we will call it) for various reasons. Immigration is a problem, but as a nation we seem pretty divided as to what to do about that, as well. Without national consensus we get legislation like the current bill offered, which "even key legislators" do not like.

This discontent with government is general, and we have just had an election. We can hardly wait till the next one and the campaign season for that began immediately after the results were in from the last one. The national sense is that our president and the Congress can do no right, America is in rapid decline, and everything is going to hell in a hand basket. Is that true? Are the national statistics all lies? Are we enjoying an illusion (for whatever perverse reason) that we are doomed or are we really doomed?

Just wondering.

Comments

A few responses to a great post

I wonder about the comparability of congressional and presidential approval ratings. Historically, the former are pretty stable and generally low, residing in the 20s to 40s (even after 9/11, barely hitting 50, according to this graph), while presidential ratings are more mercurial. And that seems to track my intuition: people are more informed about what the President is doing (although that's not saying much), and typically have negative associations with Congress.

As far as foreign policy: I think things really are as bad as they poll. Our foreign policy is pretty rudderless right now. While the President has taken bold actions, he hasn't left a map (or used one, as far as I can tell). His foreign policy looks very ad hoc, reacting to the most recent problem, rather than being principled such that those principles tell us what we're doing and why, and what our next step is (he has articulated many principles, of course, but none of them are usable. They're all constrained to the particular situation of Iraq. To wit: we're not going to use pre-emption on any other country. We're just not going to, and I seriously doubt it was ever intended for any other situation)

Re: the economy: the broad measures look good, but they're all aggregate figures, and it's cold comfort to someone in a precarious economic position that, overall, her losses are being "balanced out" by massive gains by other people or other classes. Economic data useful for getting a feel for people on the ground will have to articulate those differences, rather than net them all out in an undifferentiated "state of the economy."

My intuition is that the econ precariousness that many seem to feel (that's AFAIK and IIRC, mind you) may just be a new structural feature of our more globalized and competitive international economy. I think that'll be the ground of future economic policy making, rather than a specter of what may be.

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